Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 2
WHI
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 0
WHI
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
0 - 2
WHI
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 2
DUL
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
CHM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WES
2 - 4
WOK
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 3
WES
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
EAS
57%
20%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |