Truro City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 2
WHI
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
WHI
46%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WHI
0 - 4
BIL
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -3 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
WHI
0 - 6
EXE
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 3
BIL
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 4
WEL
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 0
WEL
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 0
DUL
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
DOV
1 - 0
WEL
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |