Truro City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
GUL
6 - 0
WHI
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BIS
4 - 0
WHI
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WHI
2 - 1
HEM
19%
20%
62%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
WHI
0 - 3
MAI
14%
21%
66%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
3 - 2
WHI
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
DOV
5 - 0
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAT
2 - 1
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 2
HAM
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
CHM
3 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
3 - 2
WHI
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |