Truro City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 2
WHI
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 3
BAT
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
WHI
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GOS
3 - 1
WHI
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 2
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 1
STA
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WES
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
BIS
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 1
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |