Truro City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
0 - 1
WHI
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
4 - 0
WHI
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WHI
3 - 1
HAY
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 2
WES
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
1 - 1
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
1 - 0
WEL
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BIL
1 - 2
WEL
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 1
TON
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 2
MAI
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |