Truro City vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TON
3 - 0
WHI
54%
21%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BOR
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HAM
4 - 3
WHI
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 2
EAS
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
DOR
26%
26%
49%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WES
2 - 2
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
SUT
18%
24%
59%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FAR
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |