Truro City vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 3
WEA
39%
24%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 2
WHI
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 2
WHI
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
WHI
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 1
POO
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 1
HEM
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
OXF
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAT
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
4 - 1
OXF
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 1
WHI
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |