Truro City vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GOS
3 - 1
WHI
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 1
BIS
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 2
WHI
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 2
HAY
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 0
WES
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 1
OXF
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 2
BAS
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
OXF
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 3
OXF
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |