Truro City vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 4
WHI
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EBB
4 - 2
WHI
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
STA
5 - 0
WHI
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 2
EAS
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 3
HAM
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
MAR
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 2
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |