Truro City vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
WHI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 0
THU
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TON
3 - 0
WHI
54%
21%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BOR
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
HAV
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 1
TON
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 0
HAV
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
3 - 1
HAV
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 4
WOK
25%
26%
50%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |