Truro City vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 3
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HEM
1 - 1
WHI
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 3
CHM
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DUL
3 - 2
WHI
48%
23%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 4
BIL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 2
GLO
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 1
WEL
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
STA
1 - 2
GLO
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 1
HEM
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |