Truro City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 1
WHI
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BIN
2 - 3
WHI
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 0
DOR
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KIN
0 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 1
SWI
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
3 - 2
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
FAR
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
KIN
4 - 1
FAR
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAL
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
4 - 2
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |