Truro City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 2
WHI
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 5
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
WHI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 3
FAR
30%
25%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
FAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 2
DAR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |