Truro City vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WHI
2 - 2
EAS
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WHI
2 - 2
BAS
39%
25%
35%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 0
WHI
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 3
WEL
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
0 - 1
WHI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
HOR
61%
20%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
3 - 1
DOR
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
TON
3 - 1
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |