Truro City vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 1
WHI
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 2
WEY
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 3
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 1
LEA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
WHI
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 2
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 2
EAS
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
HAM
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
EBB
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |