Truro City vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
WHI
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DOV
3 - 1
WHI
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 2
SAL
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
STA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 1
WHI
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 1
STA
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
EAS
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 2
MAI
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TON
5 - 1
EAS
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 4
DOR
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |