Truro City vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 0
WHI
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 2
WHI
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 3
BAT
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
WHI
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 1
EAS
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
5 - 1
GOS
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 2
EAS
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |