Truro City vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 2
HEM
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
WHI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 4
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
WHI
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WHI
0 - 2
HAM
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 1
DUL
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
DAR
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 1
DAR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 1
WES
73%
16%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
DAR
10%
16%
75%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |