Truro City vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HEM
1 - 1
WHI
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 3
CHM
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DUL
3 - 2
WHI
48%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 3
EAS
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
OXF
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
WES
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
GUL
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 4
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
SLO
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |