Truro City vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 3
WHI
11%
17%
73%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WHI
4 - 0
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WES
3 - 2
WHI
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
WHI
3 - 3
TIV
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAY
0 - 1
WHI
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
BEA
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 2
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 2
HEN
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 6
CHE
28%
23%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
POO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |