Truro City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DUL
3 - 2
WHI
48%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 3
EAS
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
WHI
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
WOK
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STA
2 - 2
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 2
WES
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
CHM
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 2
CON
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 0
CHM
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHM
1 - 0
EAS
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |