Truro City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 3
WHI
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
WHI
2 - 4
BIL
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 3
WHI
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
WHI
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 1
MAI
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 0
CHM
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 1
CHM
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BIL
0 - 1
CHM
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 1
BOR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
CHM
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |