Truro City vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 3
WHI
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
WHI
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 1
MAI
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 0
WHI
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 3
DOV
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
5 - 0
BIL
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BIL
0 - 1
CHM
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
BIL
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 2
DOV
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |