Truro City vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
WHI
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 2
WHI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 2
MAI
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 3
FAR
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
DOR
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
DAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |