Truro City vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
WHI
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 2
SUT
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 2
WHI
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHM
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
EAS
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STA
3 - 1
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 2
HAV
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |