Trujillo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 1
UDF
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MIA
0 - 1
TRU
29%
23%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 1
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 0
TRU
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 2
OLI
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 4
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 1
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
CPC
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MIA
1 - 2
OLI
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |