Trujillo vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CPA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CPA
1 - 3
TRU
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
TRU
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 4
TRU
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
EMD
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 1
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CIU
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CIU
0 - 4
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 2
CAS
38%
24%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |