Trujillo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 0
TRU
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MIA
2 - 1
TRU
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
4 - 1
ADL
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDF
0 - 2
TRU
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JER
1 - 0
ARR
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARR
0 - 3
MIA
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARR
2 - 0
UDF
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |