Trujillo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 0
TRU
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
TRU
4 - 1
OLI
28%
25%
47%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
AMA
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
TRU
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 3
CDD
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
AZU
15%
23%
62%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
78%
16%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 2
MOR
17%
21%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |