Trujillanos vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRU
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 2
DEP
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TRU
3 - 2
POR
52%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 1
TRU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
TRU
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 6
DEP
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 2
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
URE
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
CFC
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 2
URE
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |