Trujillanos vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 2
MIN
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
TRU
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 1
TAC
50%
27%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
TRU
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TUC
5 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
TUC
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
TUC
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
TUC
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |