Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 5-2
Trujillanos vs Mineros de Guayana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
ARA
0 - 0
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
TRU
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TRU
1 - 0
MIN
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
MIN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
MIN
3 - 2
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MIN
0 - 0
ITA
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TRU
1 - 0
MIN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MIN
5 - 1
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |