Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 2
ZUL
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
0 - 2
MET
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
APC
1 - 1
TRU
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
APC
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
TAC
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
LAR
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |