Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 1
TRU
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
HUI
4 - 1
TRU
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 1
TRU
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ANZ
0 - 2
TRU
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |