Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MIN
3 - 0
TRU
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
TRU
4 - 3
TAC
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRU
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TRU
1 - 3
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
EST
0 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
NTV
0 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
NTV
3 - 2
EST
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
MIR
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |