Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
TRU
35%
25%
39%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
TRU
57%
22%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ESC
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
ESC
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
TAC
16%
22%
63%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ZAM
6 - 1
ESC
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |