Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRU
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 2
TRU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
TAC
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |