Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 3
ZAM
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TRU
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 2
ZUL
54%
26%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
ESC
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
17%
68%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
MIR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
ZUL
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESC
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |