Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
TRU
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
MIR
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
ANZ
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |