Trujillanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 2
MIN
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
APC
1 - 3
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
3 - 0
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
TRU
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 2
YAR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 1
LAR
21%
28%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
EST
0 - 1
LAR
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIN
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |