Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Trujillanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TRU
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 1
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRU
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 2
TRU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 1
MET
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 0
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
APC
2 - 2
LAR
20%
24%
55%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |