Copa Venezuela Last 16
Global 4-4
Trujillanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
TRU
15%
25%
60%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
URE
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |