Trujillanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 3
TRU
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 2
TRU
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 2
YAR
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
LLA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
TRU
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 1
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 2
ZAM
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 1
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |