Trujillanos vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
3 - 2
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
2 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 1
CFC
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
0 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |