Trujillanos vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
TRU
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
TRU
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 2
CFC
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ZUL
4 - 1
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 3
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CFC
0 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |