Trujillanos vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
TRU
3 - 1
TAC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
TRU
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
TRU
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 1
HUI
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 1
MIN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 1
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
UCV
1 - 3
CFC
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 0
CFC
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |