Trujillanos vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MIN
1 - 5
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CDS
3 - 0
TRU
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
1 - 1
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
TRU
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CFC
5 - 1
LAR
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIR
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
0 - 3
CFC
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CFC
3 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |