Trujillanos vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
TRU
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TRU
0 - 0
MIN
32%
29%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
TRU
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TRU
2 - 2
DEP
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIN
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 3
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
ZUL
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |