Trujillanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 0
MON
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
TRU
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 0
ZUL
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARA
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATL
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
ARA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZUL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |