Trujillanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 3
TRU
22%
28%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ANZ
2 - 0
TRU
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
TRU
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
ARA
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 2
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
MIR
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
50%
28%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |